Venezuela at the Crossroads: The Challenge of Edmundo González and the Regime’s Resistance
As January 10Th approaches, the date set for the inauguration of Venezuela’s elected president, Edmundo González, the political atmosphere in the country becomes increasingly tense. While the outside world, including governments and international organizations, expresses support for González and his mandate, the Venezuelan regime, under the leadership of Nicolás Maduro, is deploying a series of repressive measures to prevent his entry into the country and his assumption of office.
The International Context
The international community has been closely monitoring the situation in Venezuela, recognizing the legitimacy of Edmundo González as the elected president. Various countries have expressed their backing, suggesting that political change is not only desired but necessary for the recovery and restoration of democracy in the South American country. This support has generated a sense of hope among Venezuelans yearning for a different future, free from the oppression they have experienced in recent years.
The Regime’s Strategy
In response to the growing international pressure and the possibility of González assuming the presidency, the regime has activated the Republic Plan. This plan, historically used to maintain control in crisis situations, involves the deployment of military and police contingents throughout the country. The regime’s paranoia is evident in the mobilization of armed forces, positioned at strategic points, especially along the borders, to prevent González from entering Venezuelan territory.
The regime’s strategy is not limited to physical force; it also includes intimidation and repression tactics. Arrests of activists and opponents have been reported, as well as the prohibition of meetings and demonstrations that could mobilize the people in support of González. This climate of fear aims to discourage any form of organized resistance and maintain the regime’s authority.
The March of Hope
Despite the regime’s opposition, Edmundo González is not alone in this struggle. He is joined by María Corina Machado, an emblematic figure of the Venezuelan opposition, known for her firm commitment to democracy and human rights. Her presence alongside González symbolizes the unification of forces in the pursuit of meaningful change in the country.
González and Machado’s march is more than a symbolic act: it is a manifestation of intent and faith that transformation is possible. Both leaders are determined to mobilize citizens, encouraging Venezuelans to raise their voices and demand respect for their will expressed at the polls. This union between opposition leaders reinforces the idea that change is not only a desire but an urgent necessity taking shape.
Implications for the Future
The situation in Venezuela is critical, and decisions made in the coming days will be decisive for the country’s future. The regime’s resistance to González’s arrival could trigger open conflict, especially if popular mobilizations in support of the elected president intensify. Moreover, the international community may feel compelled to increase its intervention, whether through harsher sanctions against the regime or by formally recognizing González as president.
This could strengthen pressure on the current government and open opportunities for the opposition to take a more prominent role in the political landscape.
Regime Control Strategies by Diosdado Cabello in Response to Possible Protests
In the current political context of Venezuela, Diosdado Cabello, considered one of the main architects of power within Nicolás Maduro’s regime, faces a significant challenge with the imminent inauguration of the elected president, Edmundo González, scheduled for January 10, 2025. In light of the possibility of mass protests and civil disobedience, Cabello has outlined a multifaceted approach that includes mobilizing various forces and actors both nationally and internationally to maintain control.
Use of State Forces and Allied Groups
Police and intelligence forces are fundamental to this plan. Cabello has strengthened the state’s security structure, using police and intelligence bodies to monitor and suppress any manifestations. The Military Counterintelligence Directorate and the Bolivarian National Police are on high alert, preparing to dismantle protests before they can be organized.
The Bolivarian National Armed Forces will play a crucial role in maintaining public order. Cabello has instructed military high command to remain loyal to the regime and to be prepared to intervene in any disturbance situation.
Popular militias and armed collectives have also become an extension of the regime to act as shock forces. These groups, operating in communities, are used to intimidate and repress opponents, as well as to organize counter-demonstrations.
Collaboration with groups such as La Nueva Marquetalia and the National Liberation Army is part of a broader strategy. These Colombian insurgent groups can provide logistical and tactical support in conflict situations. Additionally, the presence of the Wagner Group and the Cuban Black Wasps offers additional military backup that can be used for riot control operations.
International Support
Cabello’s regime seeks to consolidate relations with powers such as Russia, Cuba, and China. This support is not only political but also military and economic. Assistance from Russia could include the provision of security equipment and training for Venezuelan security forces, while Cuba may offer expertise in protest repression and social control.
Infiltration of Colombian Intelligence
One of the most intriguing aspects of the regime’s control is the alleged infiltration of Colombian intelligence by Diosdado Cabello. This could be achieved through various methods. Cabello may have established links with drug trafficking and guerrilla groups in Colombia that, in exchange for protection or collaboration, provide information about opposition movements and protest plans.
Moreover, utilizing disinformation campaigns to create distrust within Colombian intelligence structures, possibly by planting agents or informants working for the Venezuelan regime, could be another effective strategy. Corruption may also be a means to infiltrate intelligence agencies. If certain elements within Colombian security forces are bribed or co-opted, this could allow Cabello to obtain valuable information about opposition operations and plans.
Conclusion
Diosdado Cabello is prepared to use a combination of state forces, paramilitary groups, and international support to counter any protest movement during and after Edmundo González’s inauguration. The complexity of the situation in Venezuela, marked by the struggle between the people’s resistance and the regime’s oppression, will determine the country’s political future. González’s upcoming inauguration will not only be a milestone in his political career but also a testament to the Venezuelan people’s will for real and lasting change.
By, William Acosta, NYPD, (Ret) and Jesus Daniel Romero, USN, (Ret)
Credits
This report has been compiled from various sources of information, including El Nacional
(Venezuela), La Patilla (Venezuela), El Tiempo (Colombia), BBC Mundo, Reuters, AFP
(Agence France-Presse), CNN en Español.
